In the previous update on the Nifty 50 outlook, we had flagged concerns about the overbought breadth in the higher time frame and that the breach of 17,300 would trigger a deeper correction with heightened volatility. This scenario is currently unfolding in the Nifty 50 index.
Will the Indian IT sector slowdown as a result of a looming recession in the US? This is the question that many of you have asked us on the back of a sharp 32% correction in the Nifty IT index from its peak in January 2022. The next question is whether our ‘buy’ on one of the IT stocks is valid now and whether the same can be accumulated. We will try to answer these questions here.
Today, everyone seems to be part of Whatsapp groups, Telegram channels etc which specialize in giving stock tips. As an individual, it is an extremely demanding ask to keep searching for new stocks, new ideas etc. There is a constant bombardment of ideas and stock tips from the media- television channels, internet business websites, free data providers, charts, tipsheets and more.
When it comes to building long-term portfolios with debt, many of you are confused about which funds to use. Should it be corporate bond funds or gilt funds or credit risk funds? To choose these or a combination of these, you need to first know the difference in the characteristics of these fund categories.
While we generally look at lenders by their book size (advances) and network, the market has a different take when it comes to valuation and that has a significant impact on shareholder returns. AHFCs have become the market darlings in recent times over their conventional, broad based home lending counterparts, as reflected in their market valuations. So, what makes AHFCs market favourites?
If you are interested in psychology or behavioural economics, you’d surely have come across the boiling frog syndrome. The theory goes that if you try to dunk a frog in a pot of boiling water, it will immediately jump out. But if you place it in cool water and slowly heat up the pot, the frog will ignore the small changes in temperature and simply boil to death.
We have recommended a buy on this stock in May 2021. The stock has since then moved up by over 109%. We are moving the stock to a Hold recommendation in Prime Stocks.
Funds investing internationally were the flavour of the season all of last year. That changed in February this year, when funds hit the ceiling set by the Reserve Bank on how much they could invest in overseas securities. When we first explained the scenario, expectations were that this cap would be increased in due course and international funds could open up again.
The price action in the Nifty 50 index, and the broader markets in particular, have been extremely bullish. The overbought scenario in the short-term breadth indicator was resolved by a sideways consolidation in price. This is a major sign of strength indicating that prices could power higher. In a downtrend or a weak market environment, the overbought breadth would typically lead to a sharp price correction, which will in turn lead to a cool off in the breadth indicator.
Deposits, bonds and debt funds are great ways to diversify one’s portfolio. But the taxation on these instruments can decide whether an option is attractive or unattractive on a post-tax basis. Taxation, though varies across instruments and can be quite complex. The fact that not all debt instruments are taxed in the same way compounds the decision making dilemma on which option to choose. This write-up will break down the taxation aspect of popular debt instruments for resident individuals.