Are we at market capitulation?
Markets
Aarati Krishnan

When the last bull throws in the towel: Are we at market capitulation?

Capitulation marks the end phase that puts a full stop to a bear market and lays the foundation for the next bull phase. 

Capitulation is a phase when the sentiment turns so negative that the bellwether indices, stock prices and stock valuations plunge to levels which fundamental analysts didn’t even imagine! When Warren Buffett asks you to ‘buy when there’s blood on the Street’, it is the capitulation phase he’s referring to.

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FMCG sector
Stocks
N V Chandrachoodamani

FMCG sector: Pressures mount on earnings and valuations

When markets are in a correcting mode, one sector that jumps to mind for its ‘defensive’ qualities is the FMCG sector. With their staple business, non-discretionary spending holds revenues in good stead. But FMCG companies have instead corrected about 20% from their October ’21 peak. Against the Nifty 50, they have been underperformers over the past two years. So, what gives?

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M&A
General
R Balakrishnan

What they don’t tell you about M&A

In an M&A, company A buys out company B, triggering positive and happy noises in the market. Share prices of both companies jump in joy on the announcement. The news then gets digested and analysed.  Shareholders of both companies realise after a bit, that they should have sold out in the first few days after the announcement, rather than swallow stories of ‘synergies’, ‘cost savings’, ‘market leadership’, ‘inorganic growth’ and other jargon that are usually peddled to sell mergers, in company releases and analyst reports. 

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How to ride the rate upcycle
Bonds & Deposits
Aarati Krishnan

How to ride the interest rate upcycle

Indian debt investors have been handed a raw deal in the last three years. Though inflation has been rising and market interest rates edging up, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) were doing their level-best to keep a lid on interest rates, to protect borrowers in a Covid-hit economy. 

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Nifty 50: Will there be a pullback now?
Markets
B Krishnakumar

Nifty 50: Will there be a pullback now?

In our previous Nifty 50 index update, we had built a case for a short-term bounce in the Nifty 50 index that could extend up to 16,800-16,850 range. This price action unfolded in line with expectations and the index moved well past the target zone. The question now is, will this rally continue or is there still a risk of one more leg of downside heading back to the early March lows. 

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Cement Industry
Research Reports
Pavithra Jaivant

Cement Industry: 5 things to know before you choose a stock

India’s cement industry has always been a good proxy for the core economy, with steady volume growth and players enjoying considerable pricing power unlike other commodities. With cement industry leaders such as UltraTech Cement, Ambuja Cements, Dalmia Bharat and Birla Corporation correcting between 10% and 20% in the last 3 months, could there be an opportunity? We take a deep dive into the cement industry to assess its prospects.

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Short term outlook for Nifty 50
Markets
B Krishnakumar

Short term outlook for Nifty 50

Short term outlook for Nifty 50 : We have been voicing our concerns regarding how overbought the Nifty 50 index has been in the bigger time frame. And, we have been expecting a cool off or correction in the index for the last three months. The view shared in this post on the Nifty 50 outlook is playing out and the Nifty 50 index is reverting to its mean. 

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LIC IPO - the elephant makes an entry
Stocks
R Balakrishnan

LIC IPO – the elephant makes an entry

On the LIC IPO, a lot is at stake. Rules have been bent, timelines collapsed and all the corners cut to meet deadlines and valuation numbers. The secondary market price is extremely critical for the government as it will decide the annual dilution of five percent that is likely to happen, to reduce the government ownership to seventy five percent over five years. So, for those who are worried about the price now, there is hope.

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Technical outlook, Technical outlook for nifty 50 and nasdaq 100
Markets
B Krishnakumar

Technical outlook: Nifty 50 and Nasdaq 100 in focus

In our previous post on the Nifty 50 outlook, we had mentioned that the short-term technical outlook for the index was positive and that the index could head to the 18,000-18,300 range. This view played out and the Nifty 50 index hit a high of 18,350 on January 18 and has since been on a downward trajectory. 

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What the Budget means for bond investors
General
Aarati Krishnan

What the Budget means for bond investors

With the Budget done and dusted, most commentators have pronounced that it is a good Budget for stock markets but an awful one for bond markets. But in our view, whether you – as a bond investor – should celebrate or mourn post-Budget, will depend on your present portfolio allocation to bonds and the kind of bonds you own. Here’s how the budget affects your bond investments.

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sectors can benefit
General
PrimeInvestor Research Team

Budget 2022 – which sectors can benefit?

Several sectors can benefit from the above measures, but none to any major degree. So, we will restrict this article to a select few sectors that can benefit; these being sectors that we are also focusing on or watching for opportunities.

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Interest rates, move out of equities
Categories
R Balakrishnan

Interest rates: Should you move out of equities?

Long-standing warnings by market gurus about the imminent popping of the stock market bubble seemed to come good, with interest rates for US treasuries spiking up sharply and triggering a fairly sharp correction in stock prices across the world. But why should stocks fall if interest rates rise and will such a rate hike impact India?

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