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Re-rating: The X factor in multi-bagger returns
Stocks
Aarati Krishnan

Re-rating: The X factor in multi-bagger returns

Ask any new CFA pass-out what drives stock returns in the long run and heโ€™ll likely tell you that is earnings, of course! Equity analysts spend many man (and woman) hours on excel sheets, trying to model the future earnings of companies, to identify stocks to bet on.
But if you look at the journey of multi-bagger stocks over any time period, youโ€™ll find that thereโ€™s an X factor apart from earnings that drives multi-bagger returns.

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Technical outlook: Where the Nifty 50 & key sector indices are headed
Markets
B Krishnakumar

Technical outlook: Where the Nifty 50 & key sector indices are headed

In the previous update on the outlook for the Nifty 50, we had mentioned the possibility of the Nifty 50 index stabilising for a while before resuming its uptrend as one of the possible scenarios. This scenario has played out. The breakout above the positive trigger level of 17,500 confirmed the bullish case scenario as well. The third point worth highlighting is that the Nifty 50 index did not breach the bearish trigger level of 16,400 mentioned in the previous posts.

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Should you still bank on banking stocks? Earnings review and more
Stocks
N V Chandrachoodamani

Should you still bank on banking stocks? Earnings review and more

This earnings season, the standout performers come from the banking sector. While private banks led the revival in earlier quarters, this time around, performance is visible all round โ€“ across leading private banks to old private banks and PSU banks.

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short term money
Bonds & Deposits
Aarati Krishnan

Have short term money to park? Hereโ€™s a cast iron option

Lately, it is not just Indiaโ€™s stock market that has been hopping all over the place like an impatient child. The bond market has been doing it too! Indiaโ€™s 10-year government bond yield, which sets the benchmark for all other debt instruments, climbed vertically from 5.8% in July 2020 to 7.61% in June 2022. But after that, it has been unable to make up its mind on whether to climb higher or pause for breath.ย 

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Technical outlook for the Nifty 50
Stocks
B Krishnakumar

Technical outlook for the Nifty 50

In the previous update on the Nifty 50 outlook, we had flagged concerns about the overbought breadth in the higher time frame and that the breach of 17,300 would trigger a deeper correction with heightened volatility. This scenario is currently unfolding in the Nifty 50 index.

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Is it time to invest in US equities?
Markets
Aarati Krishnan

Is it time to invest in US equities?

US stock indices have started a fresh bout of declines. This has led smart investors to ask if they should be bargain-hunting US equities at this juncture. The answer depends on where the US economy and earnings are heading.

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US recession and IT sector slowdown โ€“ impact on our stock pick
Stocks
Vidya Bala

US recession and IT sector slowdown โ€“ impact on our stock pick

Will the Indian IT sector slowdown as a result of a looming recession in the US? This is the question that many of you have asked us on the back of a sharp 32% correction in the Nifty IT index from its peak in January 2022. The next question is whether our โ€˜buyโ€™ on one of the IT stocks is valid now and whether the same can be accumulated. We will try to answer these questions here.

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Consumer durables: On the comeback trail
Stocks
N V Chandrachoodamani

Consumer durables: On the comeback trail

Consumer durables is a category that stands between staples and lifestyle goods. This category has been hit on one hand by Covid-led lockdowns, and on the other by inflation eating into margins and hurting demand. The category has seen a more severe impact as it is neither buoyed by the non-discretionary nature of staples nor by the quick demand rebound that lifestyle consumption tends to see.

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Technical outlook: Where does the Nifty 50 stand?
Markets
B Krishnakumar

Technical outlook: Where does the Nifty 50 stand?

In the previous update on the Nifty 50 index, we had mentioned that the Nifty 50 index could retest or drop below the March low of 15,700. Since then, this scenario played out; the Nifty 50 dropped to a low of 15,183 on June 17 and has since been on a recovery path. Many of you have asked us where the Nifty 50 stands now. Hereโ€™s the view as the charts show.

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How I handle bear markets
General
R Balakrishnan

How I handle bear markets

As per the above table, we are not yet in a bear market, though it would seem to be just round the corner. But what the data shows is that the period taken to recover from the onset of a bear market back to regaining the previous peaks can be as short as three months or as long as 74 months.

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Are we at market capitulation?
Markets
Aarati Krishnan

When the last bull throws in the towel: Are we at market capitulation?

Capitulation marks the end phase that puts a full stop to a bear market and lays the foundation for the next bull phase.ย 

Capitulation is a phase when the sentiment turns so negative that the bellwether indices, stock prices and stock valuations plunge to levels which fundamental analysts didnโ€™t even imagine! When Warren Buffett asks you to โ€˜buy when thereโ€™s blood on the Streetโ€™, it is the capitulation phase heโ€™s referring to.

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