In the previous update on the Nifty 50 outlook, we had flagged concerns about the overbought breadth in the higher time frame and that the breach of 17,300 would trigger a deeper correction with heightened volatility. This scenario is currently unfolding in the Nifty 50 index.
Will the Indian IT sector slowdown as a result of a looming recession in the US? This is the question that many of you have asked us on the back of a sharp 32% correction in the Nifty IT index from its peak in January 2022. The next question is whether our ‘buy’ on one of the IT stocks is valid now and whether the same can be accumulated. We will try to answer these questions here.
Today, everyone seems to be part of Whatsapp groups, Telegram channels etc which specialize in giving stock tips. As an individual, it is an extremely demanding ask to keep searching for new stocks, new ideas etc. There is a constant bombardment of ideas and stock tips from the media- television channels, internet business websites, free data providers, charts, tipsheets and more.
While we generally look at lenders by their book size (advances) and network, the market has a different take when it comes to valuation and that has a significant impact on shareholder returns. AHFCs have become the market darlings in recent times over their conventional, broad based home lending counterparts, as reflected in their market valuations. So, what makes AHFCs market favourites?
If you are interested in psychology or behavioural economics, you’d surely have come across the boiling frog syndrome. The theory goes that if you try to dunk a frog in a pot of boiling water, it will immediately jump out. But if you place it in cool water and slowly heat up the pot, the frog will ignore the small changes in temperature and simply boil to death.
We have recommended a buy on this stock in May 2021. The stock has since then moved up by over 109%. We are moving the stock to a Hold recommendation in Prime Stocks.
The price action in the Nifty 50 index, and the broader markets in particular, have been extremely bullish. The overbought scenario in the short-term breadth indicator was resolved by a sideways consolidation in price. This is a major sign of strength indicating that prices could power higher. In a downtrend or a weak market environment, the overbought breadth would typically lead to a sharp price correction, which will in turn lead to a cool off in the breadth indicator.
Consumer durables, a key consumer category, bore the brunt of Covid as companies lost two business seasons in FY21 and FY22 to lockdowns and supply disruptions. As demand took a hit, the sector lost its sheen, especially white goods and small appliances, leaving investors disappointed over the last 2 years amid a soaring market.
Small caps are always alluring to the investor. Everyone knows that it is difficult to make quick money in large well-known and well-researched stocks. We all want to find that small gem which turns a lakh of rupees into crores. The most money is made in such cases when we can spot a company that will turn out to be a market-leading name in five to ten years. Today, the investor population has increased dramatically. Besides, information is available to everyone. This makes small cap investing both interesting and risky.
With an investment portfolio of $5 billion, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala (RKJ) has left a rich legacy behind him. While he started the journey with a modest capital that compounded over 3 decades, it is a record that may find it hard to be broken. In the words of his close aide Ramesh Damani, a proponent of compounding, it is over 50% CAGR in 35 years.