“When facts change, it is best to change your mind.” It is not clear if this pragmatic statement was made by John Maynard Keynes or Winston Churchill. But it definitely applies to the world of investing where one needs to scout for the best opportunities after factoring in constantly changing asset prices, interest rates, macroeconomic conditions and regulations.
How to play the SDL bond opportunity?
It’s not an easy life for fixed income investors looking to earn decent yields today. With RBI regularly mopping up government securities through its G-SAP programme and also reining in yields on new issues, the 10-year government security has been caught in a range of 5.8 to 6.3 per cent for the last one year, despite elevated inflation.
Ever since we started our coverage of FD products at PrimeInvestor, we’ve taken a very conservative approach to the entities whose deposits we recommend. Always putting capital safety over rates, our recommended list of FDs has been made up mainly of post office schemes, systemically important banks and very select NBFCs.
Home loans are one of the safer lending avenues for NBFCs, given that they are backed by collateral that usually appreciates in price. But does that make bond offers from two housing finance NBFCs – Piramal Capital and Housing Finance and IIFL Housing – less risky to bet on? Here’s our analysis.
We have been receiving queries from many of you on the series of covered bonds/market-linked debentures that are being issued by a platform. Many of you seem to derive comfort from the fact that the platform is backed by marquee investors. The interest in this new kind of bond appears palpable going by the number of YouTube videos plugging covered bonds as a high-return alternative to FDs.
The onset of the second wave of Covid has put long-term debt investors in India in a Trishanku-like situation (Trishanku was a king in Hindu mythology who was stuck between heaven and earth for perpetuity https://www.srichinmoylibrary.com/gim-183). They can neither earn capital gains from falling rates nor look forward to better accrual income from rising interest …
POWERGRID Infrastructure Investment Trust (PGInvIT) is the third InvIT and the second in the power transmission space (the other being IndiGrid InvIT) to be listed in the Indian stock markets. It is sponsored by listed PSU Power Grid Corporation of India (PGCIL and henceforth called the Sponsor).
Please find an explanation of what an InviT is here. This article will give you only our quick take on the offer and whether it is suitable for you. It is not a deep dive into the InvIT’s business and financials.
Suddenly everyone’s talking about US bond yields surging. I see that the 10-year US government security is up by some 0.02 % to 1.57%. Why is this such a big deal?
While yesterday’s move isn’t big, what’s big is the US 10-year Treasury’s 43 basis point rise in the last one month. This means that, a month ago, investors in long term bonds issued by the US government were getting 1.13% by way of interest and now they’re getting 1.57%. That’s a 40% jump in returns from an asset that is regarded as one of the safest parking grounds for money in the world.
With the economy looking up and interest rates likely to rise again, safety-seeking investors may like
to shop around for bank deposits offering attractive rates. But as we had explained in an earlier
article, given the way deposit insurance works in India, it simply isn’t worth it to take risks with your
bank deposits for slightly higher rates. (Read this to know why https://primeinvestor.in/why-bank-
But identifying a sound bank has become infinitely tougher post-Covid. Borrowers are just coming
out of a loan moratorium and banks are prevented from reporting their true bad loan picture due to
a Supreme Court standstill. If bad loan provisions get out of hand, some currently profitable banks
can turn loss-making or face capital shortfalls.
With bank deposit rates plumbing the depths, fixed income investors are hard-pressed to find investment options that can deliver better returns without big risks. Power Finance Corporation’s (PFC) retail offer of secured non-convertible debentures (NCDs) appears well-timed to capitalise on this need. But should you bite the bait? If yes, which of the 7 bond options is worth a look? An analysis.