technical outlook

Technical outlook – the Nifty 50 and broader markets

As observed in the previous update on targets for the Nifty 50, the index remained strong and also moved pretty close the target zone of 18,700-18,750. The index recorded a high of 18,662 on May 30 and has since been in a consolidation. In this update, we take a quick look at the short-term outlook for the Nifty 50 index and focus on a more detailed outlook for the broader markets and interesting sectors.

Technical outlook – Is the worst over for the Nifty 50?

The bearish view on the Nifty 50 index shared over the past couple of posts has played out, and the Nifty 50 index hit the target of 16,700-16,900 mentioned earlier. Now, after recording a low of 16,828 on March 20, the index has been on a recovery path. The key question, then, would be – is worst is over for the Nifty 50? As always, we will try to address this question using our favourite charting tools including the breadth indicators.

Technical outlook: Can the Nifty 50 slide further?

In the past couple of posts on the Nifty 50 outlook, we have been voicing a bearish view for the Nifty 50 index. This has played out as per expectations. The index almost achieved the first target of 17,150-17,200 that was mentioned a couple of posts ago. In the previous update, we had mentioned the possibility of a slide to the 16,700-16,900 zone.
Let us assess if this target is likely to be achieved or not.

Technical outlook: Where the Nifty 50 & key sector indices are headed

In the previous update on the outlook for the Nifty 50, we had mentioned the possibility of the Nifty 50 index stabilising for a while before resuming its uptrend as one of the possible scenarios. This scenario has played out. The breakout above the positive trigger level of 17,500 confirmed the bullish case scenario as well. The third point worth highlighting is that the Nifty 50 index did not breach the bearish trigger level of 16,400 mentioned in the previous posts.

Nifty 50: More bullishness ahead?

The price action in the Nifty 50 index, and the broader markets in particular, have been extremely bullish. The overbought scenario in the short-term breadth indicator was resolved by a sideways consolidation in price. This is a major sign of strength indicating that prices could power higher. In a downtrend or a weak market environment, the overbought breadth would typically lead to a sharp price correction, which will in turn lead to a cool off in the breadth indicator.

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