portfolio strategy

What they donโ€™t tell you about M&A

In an M&A, company A buys out company B, triggering positive and happy noises in the market. Share prices of both companies jump in joy on the announcement. The news then gets digested and analysed.ย  Shareholders of both companies realise after a bit, that they should have sold out in the first few days after the announcement, rather than swallow stories of โ€˜synergiesโ€™, โ€˜cost savingsโ€™, โ€˜market leadershipโ€™, โ€˜inorganic growthโ€™ and other jargon that are usually peddled to sell mergers, in company releases and analyst reports.ย 

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How to ride the interest rate upcycle

Indian debt investors have been handed a raw deal in the last three years. Though inflation has been rising and market interest rates edging up, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) were doing their level-best to keep a lid on interest rates, to protect borrowers in a Covid-hit economy.ย 

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Prime Stock Recommendation : Investing in the business of risk

A few weeks ago, Warren Buffettโ€™s Berkshire Hathaway announced the acquisition of Alleghany Corporation with a $11.6 billion deal, its largest buy-out deal in six years. The decision has come at a time when the general insurance industry has faced headwinds in the last 2-3 years. But there is no one better than Buffett to understand the prospects and valuation of an insurance company.ย  Berkshire Hathaway owes its long-term wealth creation success to excellent underwriting skills in its insurance subsidiaries and clever usage of the float from insurance to build a long-term equity portfolio.ย 

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Nifty 50: Will there be a pullback now?

In our previous Nifty 50 index update, we had built a case for a short-term bounce in the Nifty 50 index that could extend up to 16,800-16,850 range. This price action unfolded in line with expectations and the index moved well past the target zone. The question now is, will this rally continue or is there still a risk of one more leg of downside heading back to the early March lows.ย 

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Quarterly review: Changes to Prime Portfolios, our readymade portfolios

Prime Portfolios are a set of 19 unique portfolios that meet over 30 different investor timeframes and needs. Prime Portfolios are listed under Ready-to-use-portfolios in the Recommendations menu dropdown.ย These portfolios primarily use mutual funds, but where there are better-suited products such as deposits or government schemes, the portfolios include those too.

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Quarterly review โ€“ changes to Prime Funds, our fund recommendations

If thereโ€™s one trend that equity funds donโ€™t seem to be shaking off soon, it is the performance divergence. Over the past few review cycles, we have been highlighting how up-and-coming funds have soared well past the earlier steady performers. Taking stock of the underperformers, the nature of market movements, and returns we have made some key changes to our equity funds in this review cycle.ย 

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An update on Parag Parikh Flexi Cap and investing internationally

In January, mutual funds investing overseas came up to a roadblock. As we had explained at the time on these curbs on international funds, Reserve Bank rules limit the amount mutual funds as a whole can invest in foreign securities. The cap stands at $7 billion for all foreign securities other than ETFs and $1 billion for ETFs. That $7 billion mark was close to being breached. And so, SEBI directed international funds to close off fresh subscriptions until a new limit could be worked out with the RBI. Please read our earlier article on this subject to understand the background.

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Prime Stock Recommendation: A play on urbanisation and premiumisation

Be it inside the home or office or in a family car or a metro rail, it is glass that protects you from the elements while allowing you to still see the outside world. Malls, commercial spaces and residential buildings all use more glass than in the past. The face of public transportation in cities is changing with the introduction of air-conditioned buses and metro rail systems. Wide glass windows, glass cubicle bathrooms and the big sunroof in SUVs are the fast-catching luxury trends. Simply put, glass is a proxy to economic growth aided by per-capita income growth, urbanisation and premiumisation with increasing use cases.ย ย 

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Short term outlook for Nifty 50

Short term outlook for Nifty 50 : We have been voicing our concerns regarding how overbought the Nifty 50 index has been in the bigger time frame. And, we have been expecting a cool off or correction in the index for the last three months. The view shared in this post on the Nifty 50 outlook is playing out and the Nifty 50 index is reverting to its mean.ย 

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Prime Bonds: A privately placed bond with attractive risk-return pay off

Last week, we announced the beginning of our coverage of privately placed bonds. Today, weโ€™re issuing the first of such calls. The private issuance of this unlisted bond was done on March 4, 2022 and it is now available as a secondary sale of privately placed bonds. Our report and recommendation here is on this secondary sale.

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LIC IPO โ€“ the elephant makes an entry

On the LIC IPO, a lot is at stake. Rules have been bent, timelines collapsed and all the corners cut to meet deadlines and valuation numbers. The secondary market price is extremely critical for the government as it will decide the annual dilution of five percent that is likely to happen, to reduce the government ownership to seventy five percent over five years. So, for those who are worried about the price now, there is hope.

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