
Stock recommendation: A consolidation play in the commodity space
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Sugar industry: Will ethanol blending prove a turning point? Commodity prices have been rallying globally in the last few weeks, with some folks speculating if this is the start of a new commodity ‘super-cycle’. With all eyes on commodity stocks, the sweetest of them all, sugar companies, too have been trending higher. Leading players such as Balrampur Chini Mills Limited, Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited and EID Parry saw their stocks hit 52-week highs in June (Balrampur Chini Mills Limited and Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited even hit all-time highs) and some stock prices even doubled in the last six months. Here we take a look at the sugar sector in India and its nuances.

RITES Limited, is a public sector undertaking (PSU) specializing in consultancy work in the fields of transport, infrastructure and related technologies. Established under the aegis of Indian Railways, this Miniratna (Category I) Schedule A PSU, was established in 1974 and was listed in the stock exchanges in July 2018. The Ministry of Railways owns 72.02% of the shares in RITES Limited. Starting out as an infrastructure consultant, the company evolved itself to offer both consulting and turnkey execution of engineering projects, leasing services and exports for the Indian Railways.

India Pesticides is launching an IPO totalling to Rs 800 crore – with fresh issue of shares worth Rs 100 crore and an offer for sale worth Rs 700 crore by the promoter group. At the upper end of the price band of Rs 290-296 the post-issue market cap of the stock on listing would be Rs3,400 crore and the post-issue price earnings ratio would be 25 times. The offer closes on June 25. The proceeds from fresh issues are planned to be utilised towards working capital requirement and other corporate purposes.

Analysis beyond the P&L and the Balance Sheet is a must if we have to take a long term view of any company. I am not referring to fundamental or technical factors, but to more number work based on the published accounts. I am referring to the cash flow. My approach is different from what most textbooks would prescribe. Statutorily the accounts do carry something called the ‘funds flow’. That is not what I mean when I talk about ‘cash flow’. In the past, during a few of my presentations, I have taken up some analytical work on companies like Sintex, ABG Heavy Industries where a reconstruction of the cash flow showed that the story was vastly different from what the EPS and the PE numbers were telling. A solid cash flow analysis can tell us what the health of the business is and based on what current and likely future trends are, what would be the outcome.

KIMS Hospitals or Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences Hospital is a multi-speciality hospital chain with 9 centres, focused on the Andhra Pradesh-Telangana region. The KIMS Hospital IPO seeks to raise a sizeable Rs 2,143 crore (at the upper end of its price band of Rs 815-825). Of this, Rs 1943 crore is an offer for sale from PE investor General Atlantic, the promoters, and 44 other shareholders. The remaining will be used to pay off the already low borrowings and for general corporate purposes. Does the KIMS Hospital IPO make for a good long-term bet?

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