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Technical outlook – the Nifty 50 and broader markets
Markets
B Krishnakumar

Technical outlook – the Nifty 50 and broader markets

As observed in the previous update on targets for the Nifty 50, the index remained strong and also moved pretty close the target zone of 18,700-18,750. The index recorded a high of 18,662 on May 30 and has since been in a consolidation. In this update, we take a quick look at the short-term outlook for the Nifty 50 index and focus on a more detailed outlook for the broader markets and interesting sectors.

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FMCG sector: At the crossroads
Markets
N V Chandrachoodamani

FMCG sector: At the crossroads

Around this time last year, we had analysed the FMCG sector’s March 2022 quarter earnings. At the time, the sector was grappling with twin headwinds of a demand slump and rising input costs. Valuations were still expensive. Most FMCG players have declared their results for the March 2023 quarter.

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Technical Outlook - fresh targets for the Nifty 50
Premium
B Krishnakumar

Technical outlook: Fresh targets for the Nifty 50

A lot has happened since our previous market update, when we discussed if the worst was over for the Nifty 50. In that update, we had mentioned that the level of 17,850 on the upside and 16,900 on the lower end are the key markers to focus on. It was also highlighted that a breakout past 17,850 could pave the way for a rally to the 18,350-18,400 zone.
The Nifty 50 index has managed the latter, breaking above 17,850 and reaching the target zone of 18,350-18,400. The question now is what is in store for the Nifty 50 index. We will look at the short-term perspective here, to address this question.

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The many facets of front-running and insider trading
Markets
R Balakrishnan

The many facets of front-running and insider trading 

SEBI (Securities Exchange Board of India) has levelled charges of front-running against two big institutions that may Indians are invested with – LIC and Axis Mutual Fund. Front running and its close cousin – insider trading – were quite widely prevalent in the days of yore, before SEBI drafted elaborate regulations to keep such practices at bay. But what do today’s investors need to know about these malpractices? Here’s an explainer.

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Entering a stock at peak valuation - 5 questions to ask
Stocks
N V Chandrachoodamani

Entering a stock at peak valuation? – 5 questions to ask

When markets make merry, many stocks have seemingly compelling stories even for entering at peak valuation. And the market is fine with stretched valuations to accommodate such stories. In other words, every market-favoured stock appears to scream – buy me at any price.

But when challenges emerge, the same market starts reacting so sharply that investors who bought into the story midway start making losses. Yes, there isn’t a bigger disaster for stock market investors than earnings and PE multiples contracting together.

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Technical Outlook - Is the worst over for the Nifty 50?
Markets
B Krishnakumar

Technical outlook – Is the worst over for the Nifty 50?

The bearish view on the Nifty 50 index shared over the past couple of posts has played out, and the Nifty 50 index hit the target of 16,700-16,900 mentioned earlier. Now, after recording a low of 16,828 on March 20, the index has been on a recovery path. The key question, then, would be – is worst is over for the Nifty 50? As always, we will try to address this question using our favourite charting tools including the breadth indicators.

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Why banking is a fragile business
Stocks
R Balakrishnan

Why banking is a fragile business

The recent furore surrounding the failure of Silicon Valley Bank in the US has exposed that while banking is a favourite sector with stock market investors, the fragility of the banking business is far from well-understood. Banks are held up as the engines of economic growth. Whichever sector grows, the banking sector ultimately gains. Banks are also accorded a higher valuation than most sectors during bull phases. In good times, banks made up a 40% plus weight in our leading stock market indices.

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How to pick stocks in 2023
Stocks
N V Chandrachoodamani

How to pick stocks in 2023

When we published our equity market outlook for 2023, we had mentioned where pockets of opportunity could be found. The correction the market is going through provides fertile grounds for stock picking. So here, we tell you how to pick stocks in 2023, in those pockets that we had noted. We do this using our Stock Screener.

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