It’s been interesting times for the Nifty 50 in the past month! As we observed in the previous update, the Nifty 50 index remained bullish and managed to reach the first target of 18,640-18,700 zone that we had set. The index appears on course to reach even the second target of 19,100 mentioned in the outlook last month.
Technical outlook: Can the new Nifty 50 targets be extended? Read More »
In the previous update on the outlook for the Nifty 50, we had mentioned the possibility of the Nifty 50 index stabilising for a while before resuming its uptrend as one of the possible scenarios. This scenario has played out. The breakout above the positive trigger level of 17,500 confirmed the bullish case scenario as well. The third point worth highlighting is that the Nifty 50 index did not breach the bearish trigger level of 16,400 mentioned in the previous posts.
Technical outlook: Where the Nifty 50 & key sector indices are headed Read More »
In the previous update on the Nifty 50 outlook, we had flagged concerns about the overbought breadth in the higher time frame and that the breach of 17,300 would trigger a deeper correction with heightened volatility. This scenario is currently unfolding in the Nifty 50 index.
Technical outlook for the Nifty 50 Read More »
The price action in the Nifty 50 index, and the broader markets in particular, have been extremely bullish. The overbought scenario in the short-term breadth indicator was resolved by a sideways consolidation in price. This is a major sign of strength indicating that prices could power higher. In a downtrend or a weak market environment, the overbought breadth would typically lead to a sharp price correction, which will in turn lead to a cool off in the breadth indicator.
Nifty 50: More bullishness ahead? Read More »
In the previous update that we published on the possible levels for the Nifty 50, we expected a retest of June lows. This, however, did not play out. Contrary to expectations, the index marched higher, a gain that even managed to break the then-mentioned upper reference level 16,800. Interestingly, the downside trigger level of 15,350 was not even challenged!
Technical outlook: What can you expect from the Nifty 50? Read More »
In the previous update on the Nifty 50 index, we had mentioned that the Nifty 50 index could retest or drop below the March low of 15,700. Since then, this scenario played out; the Nifty 50 dropped to a low of 15,183 on June 17 and has since been on a recovery path. Many of you have asked us where the Nifty 50 stands now. Here’s the view as the charts show.
Technical outlook: Where does the Nifty 50 stand? Read More »
Capitulation marks the end phase that puts a full stop to a bear market and lays the foundation for the next bull phase.
Capitulation is a phase when the sentiment turns so negative that the bellwether indices, stock prices and stock valuations plunge to levels which fundamental analysts didn’t even imagine! When Warren Buffett asks you to ‘buy when there’s blood on the Street’, it is the capitulation phase he’s referring to.
When the last bull throws in the towel: Are we at market capitulation? Read More »
We have been giving the outlook for the Nifty 50 over the past several months. With the market movements, there is no significant change that we can see from the stance explained in the earlier outlooks. Therefore, now, we turn our focus on two interesting sectors apart from the Nifty 50 – one that’s on the cusp of a recovery and the other.
Technical outlook: A sector index on the recovery Read More »
In our previous update on the Nifty 50, we had indicated that the short-term outlook for the Nifty 50 index was bearish and a drop to the March lows of 15,900 was likely. The subsequent price action has been in sync with our expectation and the Nifty dropped to a low of 15,735 last week. The key question now is whether the worst is over and whether we are now headed to fresh highs in the Nifty.
Nifty 50: what now? Read More »
In our previous Nifty 50 index update, we had built a case for a short-term bounce in the Nifty 50 index that could extend up to 16,800-16,850 range. This price action unfolded in line with expectations and the index moved well past the target zone. The question now is, will this rally continue or is there still a risk of one more leg of downside heading back to the early March lows.
Nifty 50: Will there be a pullback now? Read More »
Short term outlook for Nifty 50 : We have been voicing our concerns regarding how overbought the Nifty 50 index has been in the bigger time frame. And, we have been expecting a cool off or correction in the index for the last three months. The view shared in this post on the Nifty 50 outlook is playing out and the Nifty 50 index is reverting to its mean.
Short term outlook for Nifty 50 Read More »
In our previous post on the Nifty 50 outlook, we had mentioned that the short-term technical outlook for the index was positive and that the index could head to the 18,000-18,300 range. This view played out and the Nifty 50 index hit a high of 18,350 on January 18 and has since been on a downward trajectory.
Technical outlook: Nifty 50 and Nasdaq 100 in focus Read More »
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