Beginning now, we will be issuing recommendations on opportunities arising in primary government bond issues to Growth subscribers. These recommendations will be both central govt bonds (called G-Secs) and state development loans (SDLs) and if opportunities are attractive – treasury bills as well.
SDLs are State government borrowings. Each State has a limit up to which it can borrow. The coupon that each bond carries depends on the State’s finances and of course, the prevailing interest rate cycle. SDL issues are managed by the Reserve Bank.
Long-standing warnings by market gurus about the imminent popping of the stock market bubble seemed to come good, with interest rates for US treasuries spiking up sharply and triggering a fairly sharp correction in stock prices across the world. But why should stocks fall if interest rates rise and will such a rate hike impact India?
Muthoot Fincorp, a non-deposit taking NBFC, registered with RBI, has come up with a public offering of secured non-convertible debentures (NCDs). The issue opens on January 5 and closes on January 28, 2022. Should you invest?
So what’s ahead for the prime debt outlook 2022? Do we expect rates to now sidle sideways or to continue their climb? Though the onset of Omicron may see the MPC continue to make dovish noises and delay repo rate hikes as much as it can, we think that market interest rates will continue to climb in 2022 irrespective of whether or not MPC acts.
RBI’s new Retail Direct platform which was flagged off in November, offers retail investors a chance to participate in the primary market auctions of Central government and State government securities that the RBI conducts.
“When facts change, it is best to change your mind.” It is not clear if this pragmatic statement was made by John Maynard Keynes or Winston Churchill. But it definitely applies to the world of investing where one needs to scout for the best opportunities after factoring in constantly changing asset prices, interest rates, macroeconomic conditions and regulations.
How to play the SDL bond opportunity?
It’s not an easy life for fixed income investors looking to earn decent yields today. With RBI regularly mopping up government securities through its G-SAP programme and also reining in yields on new issues, the 10-year government security has been caught in a range of 5.8 to 6.3 per cent for the last one year, despite elevated inflation.
Ever since we started our coverage of FD products at PrimeInvestor, we’ve taken a very conservative approach to the entities whose deposits we recommend. Always putting capital safety over rates, our recommended list of FDs has been made up mainly of post office schemes, systemically important banks and very select NBFCs.
Home loans are one of the safer lending avenues for NBFCs, given that they are backed by collateral that usually appreciates in price. But does that make bond offers from two housing finance NBFCs – Piramal Capital and Housing Finance and IIFL Housing – less risky to bet on? Here’s our analysis.
We have been receiving queries from many of you on the series of covered bonds/market-linked debentures that are being issued by a platform. Many of you seem to derive comfort from the fact that the platform is backed by marquee investors. The interest in this new kind of bond appears palpable going by the number of YouTube videos plugging covered bonds as a high-return alternative to FDs.
The onset of the second wave of Covid has put long-term debt investors in India in a Trishanku-like situation (Trishanku was a king in Hindu
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