Nifty 50

Technical outlook โ€“ the Nifty 50 and broader markets

As observed in the previous update on targets for the Nifty 50, the index remained strong and also moved pretty close the target zone of 18,700-18,750. The index recorded a high of 18,662 on May 30 and has since been in a consolidation. In this update, we take a quick look at the short-term outlook for the Nifty 50 index and focus on a more detailed outlook for the broader markets and interesting sectors.

Technical outlook โ€“ the Nifty 50 and broader markets Read More ยป

Technical outlook: Fresh targets for the Nifty 50

A lot has happened since our previous market update, when we discussed if the worst was over for the Nifty 50. In that update, we had mentioned that the level of 17,850 on the upside and 16,900 on the lower end are the key markers to focus on. It was also highlighted that a breakout past 17,850 could pave the way for a rally to the 18,350-18,400 zone.
The Nifty 50 index has managed the latter, breaking above 17,850 and reaching the target zone of 18,350-18,400. The question now is what is in store for the Nifty 50 index. We will look at the short-term perspective here, to address this question.

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Technical outlook โ€“ Is the worst over for the Nifty 50?

The bearish view on the Nifty 50 index shared over the past couple of posts has played out, and the Nifty 50 index hit the target of 16,700-16,900 mentioned earlier. Now, after recording a low of 16,828 on March 20, the index has been on a recovery path. The key question, then, would be – is worst is over for the Nifty 50? As always, we will try to address this question using our favourite charting tools including the breadth indicators.

Technical outlook โ€“ Is the worst over for the Nifty 50? Read More ยป

Technical outlook: Can the Nifty 50 slide further?

In the past couple of posts on the Nifty 50 outlook, we have been voicing a bearish view for the Nifty 50 index. This has played out as per expectations. The index almost achieved the first target of 17,150-17,200 that was mentioned a couple of posts ago. In the previous update, we had mentioned the possibility of a slide to the 16,700-16,900 zone.
Let us assess if this target is likely to be achieved or not.

Technical outlook: Can the Nifty 50 slide further? Read More ยป

Nifty Next 50 – what should you do with your investments?

The Nifty Next 50 houses the 50 top companies by market capitalisation, after the Nifty 50. This index caught the limelight over the past month for featuring a handful of the Adani group stocks.

As we had pointed out a couple of weeks ago in our write-up on Adani stocks and index funds, the presence of a few shaky stocks in an index is not reason enough to exit it. But even before the Adani-fuelled upheaval, the Nifty Next 50โ€™s once-outstanding performance was being eroded.

Nifty Next 50 – what should you do with your investments? Read More ยป

Prime Equity Outlook 2023

In our Prime Equity outlook in 2022 we said โ€œWe would expect any correction triggered by global rates to take the Nifty 50 down to the 12,500 to 15,000 range. In this range, investors should deploy cash and swoop in on buying opportunities rather than develop cold feet!โ€.
The equity market world over did see a correction in 2022 along these lines and as geo-political factors took hold. Indian markets too, experienced a rout in the first half of the year hitting close to our predicted range at 15,200 by mid-June.
Even so, India did a lot better than its emerging market peers. The Nifty 50 closed the year on a positive note, with a modest 4% return. Simply buying the Nifty 50 would have delivered a good 18% from June until December 2022. Our own stock picks delivered well in 2022, too.
But with global recession on the cards, still high Nifty 50 and a hostile rate scenario, can 2023 be better than 2022? For Indian markets, there are some key trends that we think can play out. We look at where the Nifty 50 could be headed, and where opportunities lie.

Prime Equity Outlook 2023 Read More ยป

A new approach to gauge market mood – The Nifty VMI tool

โ€œIs this a good time to invest in the market?โ€ This is a question that many of you ask us when you want to deploy additional money. Gauging market mood is never easy and this is often done mostly by short-term traders. When investing for the long term, we typically tell you that it is best to invest in phases and avoid trying to time the market. Investing in phases (or call it SIP) and holding for the long term can help contain downsides and it is a proven strategy.

A new approach to gauge market mood – The Nifty VMI tool Read More ยป

Technical outlook โ€“ where the Nifty 50 could be headed in 2023

In the previous update on the targets for the Nifty 50, the expectation was that the index could head to the next target at 19,100. Contrary to expectations, the index has been in a correction phase in the past few weeks.ย In todayโ€™s report, thus, we try to assess both the short-term and the medium-term outlook for the Nifty 50 index.

Technical outlook โ€“ where the Nifty 50 could be headed in 2023 Read More ยป

Technical outlook: Can the new Nifty 50 targets be extended?

Itโ€™s been interesting times for the Nifty 50 in the past month! As we observed in the previous update, the Nifty 50 index remained bullish and managed to reach the first target of 18,640-18,700 zone that we had set. The index appears on course to reach even the second target of 19,100 mentioned in the outlook last month.ย 

Technical outlook: Can the new Nifty 50 targets be extended? Read More ยป

Technical outlook: Where the Nifty 50 & key sector indices are headed

In the previous update on the outlook for the Nifty 50, we had mentioned the possibility of the Nifty 50 index stabilising for a while before resuming its uptrend as one of the possible scenarios. This scenario has played out. The breakout above the positive trigger level of 17,500 confirmed the bullish case scenario as well. The third point worth highlighting is that the Nifty 50 index did not breach the bearish trigger level of 16,400 mentioned in the previous posts.

Technical outlook: Where the Nifty 50 & key sector indices are headed Read More ยป

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