
Nifty 50 outlook: Struggling index hints at correction
This is an update to the Nifty 50 outlook that was posted about a month ago. The Nifty 50 index has struggled make headway on

This is an update to the Nifty 50 outlook that was posted about a month ago. The Nifty 50 index has struggled make headway on

This is an update to the Nifty outlook that was posted on January 9 2021. The Nifty 50 index has achieved the first upward target of 14,600 that was mentioned in the earlier post. And the index also got within striking distance of the second target of 15,900. The Nifty 50 index registered a high of 15,371 before the recent slide.

In our last article, we discussed the performance of sectoral indices. A look at the thematic and strategy indices on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) would be a logical follow-up to the previous post.
We will be using the same Point & Figure charting based methodology, that was used earlier, to identify the outperformers in relation to the Nifty 50 index.

While the Nifty 50 index has seen a sharp pull back in the last few trading sessions, there has also been a tectonic shift in how individual sectors have fared versus the Nifty 50. Sector rotation is clearly the name of the game.

The year 2020 will go down as a historical one for the stock markets for more reasons than one. If COVID-19-triggered crash in March 2020 was dramatic, the subsequent rise was even more remarkable. If someone had predicted at end of March 2020 that the frontline stock indices would close at lifetime highs by December 2020, I am sure there would not have been too many takers for it.

As the Nifty scales new highs, there are specific sectors that are outperforming the index. In a rally such as the present one, if you have a positive outlook on the broad markets, it makes sense to focus on these sectors than look for contrary picks.
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